Live model · sampleGW36
Bukayo Saka
Arsenal · MID · £10.5m
9.8
xPts · GW36
Other sites: 6.2+3.6 from context
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FPL Stats
Free FPL analytics
xPts that change with the opponent, your teammates, and your league.
5 GWs ahead. 600+ players. Free.
- 26-factor xPts
- Recomputed for YOUR context
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Sample · what the model does for every player in your XV
26 factors. 4 dimensions of context.
Every xPts number bends to who they're playing, who's playing alongside them, who's coaching, and who else owns them in your league. Plus the table-stakes everyone has — xG, xA, recency, minutes.
Player vs team
Bogey-good. Bogey-bad.
A player's posterior is weighted by their record against THIS specific opponent. 9 GI in 6 vs Spurs ≠ 1 GI in 4 vs Liverpool. We don't average it away.
Manager vs manager
Coaching duels
Coach A vs Coach B has a track record. Manager rotation patterns feed the start-rate prior. Tactical matchups bend the team-strength z-scores for the fixture.
Counterfactual
Teammate-state knock-on
If a playmaker is out, an attacker's role inflates. If a starting GK is fit, the backup collapses. The squad is a network, not a list — we propagate the dependencies.
Differential
Scored vs YOUR template
A 30%-owned player doesn't mean the same to you. If your mini-league templates them at 60%, that ownership is a wall to climb. Differential EV computed against your league, not the global table.
On top of the standard signalsThe stuff every site has — done properly
- Per-shot xG / xA
- Recency-weighted form (kernel)
- Minutes-priors (Beta-Binomial)
- Defensive contribution hit-rate
- Bookmaker odds
- Set-piece duties
- Lineup-leak signals
- Press-conference parsing
What you see when you log in
Your XV. Every player projected for THIS gameweek. Captain shouts, DGW/BGW alerts, set-piece changes, differentials. One page.
GW 36Live
Deadline2d 14h
Pts62
Rank124k
Bank£1.2m
Squad looks set— captain Saka · 9 GI in last 6 vs Spurs
Plan
AlertsDGW 37 · ARS · LIV · BHABGW 38Saka set-piece role (GW31)
ARS
Raya
4.8
ARS
Saliba
5.1
ARS
Gabriel
4.7
BHA
Estupiñán
4.2
LIV
Robertson
4.5
ARS
C
Saka
9.8
vs bogeyMCI
Foden
6.4
set-pieceMUN
V
Bruno F
5.9
MCI
Haaland
8.1
AVL
Watkins
5.7
diffNEW
Isak
6.3
DGWBench
NEW
Pope
3.8
MCI
Stones
3.4
MUN
Mainoo
3.2
TOT
Solanke
4.0
Sample squad · your /home after signup
5 gameweeks. One canvas.
Chip windows, captain rotations, and transfer paths planned together. Most sites tell you about the next deadline — we plan against the full 5-GW posterior.
Sample · GW6–13 window
- WildcardGW8–9+18.4 EV
Fixture swing + 4 underperformers in your XV
- Free HitGW11+22.1 EV
BGW · 5 of your starters blank
- Triple CaptainGW12+9.6 EV
DGW · Haaland captain (top xPts vs both fixtures)
- Bench BoostGW13+11.8 EV
DGW · 4 of your bench play twice
WildcardFree HitTriple CaptainBench Boost
Same depth. £0.
vs the three paid sites FPL managers actually pay for — Fantasy Football Hub, FPL Review, and Fantasy Football Scout.
FPL StatsFPL Stats
HubFF Hub
ReviewFPL Review
ScoutFF Scout
Player-vs-team h2h baked inxPts bends to the specific opponent's record vs the player
Coaching duels (manager-vs-manager)Tactical patterns and rotation models feed start-rate priors
Teammate-state counterfactualsIf Ødegaard is out, Saka's xPts shifts +0.6 from role inflation
Differentials vs YOUR mini-leagueOwnership scored against your league template, not global FPL
Global
Elite 1k
Tap-to-decompose any xPts numberGoals · assists · CS · defcon · bonus — see the math, not a black box
Raw data
5-GW xPts for all 600+ players
Paid
5 / 14
Season
Transfer score / single ranking
Paid AI
Solver
Paid AI
Pressers + lineup leaks ingested
Articles
Price
Free
£3.40+/mo
£3.50+/mo
£7.50+/mo
Competitor pricing sourced from public product pages, 2026. Partial-checks indicate functionally adjacent but not equivalent features (e.g. "Elite 1k" ownership data ≠ your specific mini-league template). Logos and trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Pricing
Frequently asked
A player's xPts isn't a fixed number. Ours bends to who they're playing (player-vs-team h2h history), who's playing alongside them (teammate-state knock-on effects), who's coaching the matchup (coaching-duel tactical priors), and how rare they are in YOUR mini-league (differential EV). Same player. Different number. Calibrated to your context.
All three give you the same generic projection for everyone. We re-project for your opponent, your teammates, your manager matchup, and your mini-league template. Plus, we're free. They charge £3.40–£15/mo.
Tap any xPts number. You get the breakdown — appearance, goals, assists, CS, defcon, bonus, saves — and which of the 26 factors moved it. No black box. The model is Bayesian, recency-weighted (5-GW half-life), with Beta-Binomial start-rate priors. Decompose it as deep as you want.
We built it for ourselves. No ads, no paywall, no upsell. If we ever need to charge, the free tier stays free — we'll be transparent about the deal.
Per-shot xG and xA, FPL minutes priors, Beta-Binomial start-rate, kernel-weighted form, defensive-contribution hit rate, opponent attack/defense z-scores, home/away modulation, bookmaker odds (goal/assist/card/SoT/CS), lineup-leak signals, set-piece duties, manager rotation patterns, h2h history vs the specific opponent, teammate-state counterfactuals, and your league's ownership template. 26+ inputs total.
A 0–100 score for every FPL player. Six axes — form, fixture, matchup, role, value, risk — composed from the 26 factors. Plus 16 considerations (bogey opponents, captaincy safety, derby risk, set-piece duties, lineup-leak signals, rotation risk, DGW/BGW, news flags, etc.) surfaced as chips around the score.
If you're tabbing through 5 sites every Friday to make one decision, this is faster. Same depth — sharper, because it's calibrated to YOUR squad and YOUR league — in one place.
Classic only for now. Draft support is on the roadmap — email support@fplstats.com if you want it sooner.
No native app yet. The site is mobile-first — works fine on your phone. Add to home screen for the closest experience.
Yes — FPL is global. So are we.
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Your squad. Re-projected.
26 factors, your context, 5 gameweeks. Free.
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